Chroma 2 Case
45 skins
Weapon Skins
Knives & Gloves
Chroma 2 Case Odds
Per-tier drop odds based on the rarity ratios Valve disclosed for the China region: each rarity tier is 5x rarer than the one below it, and the rare special tier (knives and gloves) is 2.5x rarer than Covert. Within a tier, every skin is equally likely.
| Tier | Odds | Skins | Per skin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec Grade | 79.92% | 6 | 13.32% |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 4 | 4.00% |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 | 1.07% |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.32% |
| Rare Special (knives, gloves) | 0.26% | 30 | 0.01% |
Is Chroma 2 Case worth opening?
Most cases return less than they cost to open. The numbers below are measured from market prices across the case's drops, wears, and StatTrak rolls, not marketing; drops without a live price are excluded.
Cost to open (case + key)
$5.97
Expected drop value
$2.79
Expected return
-53.2%
Chance to profit
5.0%
Median drop
$0.43
Best possible drop right now: ★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New, StatTrak) at $17,517.40.
Updated Sep 12, 2026, 10:00 AM. 5 of 45 drops had no live price and were excluded. Odds are community-verified estimates from Valve's regional disclosure; Valve does not publish global odds.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What are the odds of a knife or gloves from the Chroma 2 Case?
- About 0.26% of Chroma 2 Case openings drop a rare special item, split evenly across 30 knife and glove variants.
- Is the Chroma 2 Case worth opening?
- Opening currently costs $5.97 (case plus key) and the average drop is worth $2.79, with a 5.0% chance to profit on a single opening. In most cases buying the skin you want directly is cheaper than opening for it.